Kaichi Uchida vs Federico CinaChengdu Qualifying Round of 16

Chengdu · ATP · Qualifying Round of 16
#331ATP
1355ELO
1331Hard ELO
$77kYTD
$709kCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#170ATP
1630ELO
1583Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$595kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
Uchida K.
1-6 2-6
Cina F.
Uchida K.
120
Cina F.
662

Federico Cina defeated Kaichi Uchida 6-1, 6-2 in the second round of qualifying for the Chengdu tournament on hard courts. Cina hit 4 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Uchida made 2 aces and 4 double faults. Cina converted both break points he faced and won 2 service breaks to Uchida's none.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Uchida K.0/8
Cina F.4/7

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
87
Break points won·Dominant
2
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
52
Tiebreaks·Even
29
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Uchida K.21%
Cina F.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cina F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1331
Surface ELO
8.1+252 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1355
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1630
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.71 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 13
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
95

Uchida K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cina F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw