Hanna Chang vs Kailey Evans — W50 Berkeley Round of 32
W50 Berkeley · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Chang H.vs
Evans K.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCChang H.74%
Evans K.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Chang H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.97 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in USA (238)
Country comfortSurface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
32 vs 23 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
19°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 74%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.