Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov — Chengdu Qualifying Round of 16
RUS
Castelnuovo L.
Pavel Kotov defeated Luca Castelnuovo in the Chengdu Q16 on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 in favor of Kotov. Kotov hit 11 aces and committed 0 double faults, while Castelnuovo had 12 aces and 2 double faults; Kotov converted 33% of break points and broke Castelnuovo's serve once.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken
Key context
- Match story: Pavel Kotov dropped the opening set before beating Luca Castelnuovo 6–7 7–5 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kotov P. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadCastelnuovo L.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Kotov P.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About