Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Hernan Casanova

Buenos Aires · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

BOL

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

#423ATP

1379ELO

1368Clay ELO

29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLLWWLWL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · 11:30

clay

ARG

Hernan Casanova

#397ATP

1393ELO

1381Clay ELO

$26kYTD

$361kCAREER

32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWLWWLW

Dellien Velasco M.

Casanova H.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco faces Hernan Casanova in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. Hernan Casanova holds the paper edge — ranked #397, leading the head-to-head 3–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Dellien Velasco M.37%

Casanova H.63%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Casanova H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Head-to-head: Hernan Casanova leads the head-to-head 3–0. Last met at M25 Maribor 2 2022.
Surface form: Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 3 of 10, Hernan Casanova 5 of 10 on clay recently — Hernan Casanova the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Dellien Velasco M.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Casanova H.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.8Clay Elo 1368

Surface ELO

5.2+13 Clay Elo edge

4.8Overall Elo 1379

ELO gap

5.2Overall Elo 1393

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

2.33 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.56 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 5

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season

Dellien Velasco M.Casanova H.

1st serve in·Clear edge

62%

77%

1st serve points won·Even

64%

61%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

46%

54%

Service points won·Even

57%

60%

Return points won·Even

44%

Break points saved·Even

54%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.3

0.6

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.7

0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Dellien Velasco M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Casanova H.

Casanova H.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Dellien Velasco M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Dellien Velasco M.Casanova H.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather forecast

10°COvercast

Wind 15 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

0–3

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2022-09-10	M25 Maribor 2	SF	clay	Hernan Casanova	6-3 6-1
2022-09-04	M25 Maribor 1	F	clay	Hernan Casanova	6-4 6-3
2022-08-19	M25 Koksijde 1	QF	clay	Hernan Casanova	6-3 6-1

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Hernan Casanova — Buenos Aires Round of 32