Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Genoa 2 Round of 32
William Donald M.
Matthew William Donald faces Gianluca Cadenasso in the Genoa 2 round of 32 on clay. Gianluca Cadenasso holds the paper edge — ranked #219. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cadenasso G. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Matthew William Donald 33 games in 14 days, Gianluca Cadenasso 19.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadWilliam Donald M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cadenasso G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.