Arina Bulatova vs Jenna Defalco — W50 Berkeley Qualifying Round of 16
W50 Berkeley · ITF · Qualifying Round of 16
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Bulatova A.vs
Defalco J.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCBulatova A.48%
Defalco J.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.03 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.4Won 40% in USA (48)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 vs 10 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
53%
2nd serve points won·Even
38%
39%
Service points won·Even
50%
48%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
45%
Aces / match·Even
0.4
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.9
5.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 84%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.