Madison Brengle vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer ObregonW50 Berkeley Round of 32

W50 Berkeley · ITF · Round of 32
#207WTA
1575ELO
1539Hard ELO
$104kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#702WTA
22 yrs
Last 10
LWWWWWLWWW
Brengle M.
vs
Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.

Madison Brengle faces Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon in the W50 Berkeley round of 32 on hard. They have met once, Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon leading 1–0. Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon brings the better recent hard form (6 of 7).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Brengle M.81%
Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brengle M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3Won 71% in USA (124)
Country comfort
5.8Won 63% in USA (65)
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

42 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
79%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Even
50%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brengle M.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.

wins 46% of points on serve vs Brengle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
16°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25W35 Berkeley 1R16hardAnne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon7-5 6-1

Draw