Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia — St. Tropez Round of 32

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRA
Ugo Blanchet
#320ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$122kYTD
$993kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Nicolas Mejia
COL5
Nicolas Mejia
#119ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$776kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Blanchet U.
4-1
Mejia N.
Blanchet U.
41
Mejia N.
10

Nicolas Mejia advanced to the next round of the St. Tropez tournament with a win over Ugo Blanchet in the Round of 32. Blanchet retired during the match, trailing 1-4. The match statistics for aces, double faults, break points converted percentage, and service breaks were not recorded as they were all zero for both players.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Blanchet U.2/2
Mejia N.1/3

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Blanchet U.Mejia N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Blanchet U.Mejia N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
34
26
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
74
Break points won·Slight edge
15
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Blanchet U.45%
Mejia N.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Blanchet U.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mejia N.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+122 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1424
5.6Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Blanchet U.Mejia N.
Freshness·
82
—

Blanchet U.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw