Darwin Blanch vs J J WolfSan Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#166ATP
1551ELO
1483Hard ELO
$228kYTD
$473kCAREER
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLLLLL
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#218ATP
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLWWWW
Blanch D.
vs
Wolf J.

Darwin Blanch faces J J Wolf in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Darwin Blanch is the paper favourite — ranked #166 — but J J Wolf arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Darwin Blanch's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Blanch D.24%
Wolf J.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wolf J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blanch D.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Wolf J.

Wolf J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Serve advantage — Blanch D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
58
66

Blanch D.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d) · Wolf J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw