Robin Bertrand vs Tiago CacaoM25 Setubal Round of 32

M25 Setubal · ITF · Round of 32
#379ATP
1319ELO
1321Hard ELO
$58kYTD
$265kCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#678ATP
$10kYTD
$98kCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
Bertrand R.
7-6 7-6
Cacao T.
Bertrand R.
78772
Cacao T.
66650

Robin Bertrand defeated Tiago Cacao in the Round of 32 of the M25 Setubal tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Bertrand served 3 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 57% of break points and winning 4 service breaks, compared to Cacao's 2 aces, 3 double faults, 44% break point conversion, and 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Bertrand R.7/12
Cacao T.7/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Bertrand R.71%
Cacao T.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bertrand R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Bertrand R.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw