Marie Vogt vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea — Ankara Open - Ankara Round of 32

Ankara Open - Ankara · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GERQ
Marie Vogt
#457WTA
$12kYTD
$51kCAREER
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWWWW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
TopSpin Court · 3rd on
ROU
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
#282WTA
1494ELO
1346Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$72kCAREER
20 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLLWWWL
Vogt M.
vs
Ruxandra Bertea E.

Marie Vogt faces Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Ankara Open - Ankara round of 32 on hard. Elena Ruxandra Bertea is the paper favourite — ranked #282 — but Marie Vogt rides a 7-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Vogt M.51%
Ruxandra Bertea E.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vogt M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ruxandra Bertea E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
Vogt M.Ruxandra Bertea E.
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
51%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
49%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vogt M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ruxandra Bertea E.

Ruxandra Bertea E.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Vogt M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Vogt M.Ruxandra Bertea E.
Freshness·
82
—

Vogt M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on TopSpin Court · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Pridankina E. v Egorova D.
    7-651-67-5
  2. 2Crawley F. v Monnet C.Live
    1-60-0
  3. 3Vogt M. v Ruxandra Bertea E.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw