Erik Arutiunian vs Trevor SvajdaSan Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#594ATP
$4kYTD
$62kCAREER
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#501ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
$81kYTD
$177kCAREER
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWW
Arutiunian E.
vs
Svajda T.

Erik Arutiunian faces Trevor Svajda in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Trevor Svajda is the paper favourite — ranked #501 — but Erik Arutiunian arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Trevor Svajda's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Arutiunian E.53%
Svajda T.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in USA (60)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Arutiunian E.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Svajda T.

Svajda T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Arutiunian E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
85

Arutiunian E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Svajda T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw