Kerem Yilmaz vs Egor AgafonovM15 Baku Round of 32

M15 Baku · ITF · Round of 32
#916ATP
$7kYTD
$13kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#670ATP
$5kYTD
$81kCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLW
Yilmaz K.
6-4 6-1
Agafonov E.
Yilmaz K.
662
Agafonov E.
410

Kerem Yilmaz defeated Egor Agafonov in the Round of 32 of the M15 Baku tournament, winning 6-4, 6-1 on hard courts. Yilmaz converted 67% of his break points and secured two service breaks, while Agafonov had one service break and converted 50% of his break points. Yilmaz also committed one double fault, compared to two by Agafonov, and neither player hit an ace.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Yilmaz K.5/8
Agafonov E.2/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
32%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
38%
Break points saved·Dominant
40%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.0
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Yilmaz K.16%
Agafonov E.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Agafonov E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.02 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Agafonov E.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw