Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Mykyta MashtakovPlovdiv 4 Qualifying Round of 16

Plovdiv 4 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#1027ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#527ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
Tsitsipas P.
3-6 1-6
Mashtakov M.
Tsitsipas P.
310
Mashtakov M.
662

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated Pavlos Tsitsipas 6-3, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the Plovdiv 4 clay tournament. Mashtakov converted one of four break points and won one service break to account for the win. Both players hit zero aces and one double fault.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Tsitsipas P.3/8
Mashtakov M.7/8

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Clear edge
34%
49%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Tsitsipas P.34%
Mashtakov M.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mashtakov M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
76

Tsitsipas P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Mashtakov M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw