Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Ivan JustoBuenos Aires Round of 32

Buenos Aires · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#328ATP
1361ELO
1350Clay ELO
$40kYTD
$329kCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
clay
#233ATP
1443ELO
1433Clay ELO
$57kYTD
$159kCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Villanueva G.
4-6 6-3 1-6
Ivan Justo G.
Villanueva G.
4611
Ivan Justo G.
6362

Guido Ivan Justo defeated Gonzalo Villanueva in the Round of 32 of the Buenos Aires tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 in favor of Justo. Justo hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 56% of break points and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Villanueva's 3 aces, 6 double faults, 43% break point conversion, and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Villanueva G.8/13
Ivan Justo G.10/13

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Guido Ivan Justo came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
12
Break points saved·Even
19
23
Break points won·Clear edge
26
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
20
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Villanueva G.39%
Ivan Justo G.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ivan Justo G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1350
Surface ELO
6.0+82 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1360
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1443
1.8Trails 0–3 on clay
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
13°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw