J. Vrba vs Spencer Johnson β€” San Diego 2 Qualifying Round of 16

San Diego 2 Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#1463ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWWWWWLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 Β·
hard
#449ATP
$55kYTD
$63kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWLLWWWWW
Vrba J.
2-6 4-6
Johnson S.
Vrba J.
240
Johnson S.
662

Spencer Johnson defeated J. Vrba 6-2, 6-4 in the San Diego 2 quarterfinals. Johnson served eight aces to Vrba's five and converted 60% of his break points, compared to Vrba's 0%. Johnson won three service breaks to Vrba's zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Vrba J.2/9
Johnson S.5/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Clear edge
55%
68%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
44%
59%
Service points wonΒ·Clear edge
54%
67%
Return points wonΒ·Even
38%
38%
Break points savedΒ·Even
70%
68%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
2.3
9.1
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
4.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 17:50 UTC
Vrba J.22%
Johnson S.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Johnson S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.7Won 79% in USA (57)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
82
69

Vrba J.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 31 games (7d) Β· Johnson S.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CDrizzle
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw