Tristan Mccormick vs Garrett JohnsM25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · ITF · Round of 32
#707ATP
1086ELO
1084Clay ELO
$10kYTD
$85kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
clay
#442ATP
1336ELO
1291Clay ELO
$30kYTD
$197kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Mccormick T.
4-6 2-6
Johns G.
Mccormick T.
420
Johns G.
662

Garrett Johns defeated Tristan Mccormick in the Round of 32 of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-2. Johns served one ace and committed one double fault, while converting 67% of his break points and securing two service breaks. Mccormick had no aces or double faults, converted all his break points, but did not manage any service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Mccormick T.5/10
Johns G.8/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-12M15 Naples 1R32clayGarrett Johns4-6 6-3 7-6(1)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Mccormick T.25%
Johns G.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Johns G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1084
Surface ELO
7.6+207 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1086
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1336
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw