Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibino — Singapore Round of 32

Singapore · WTA · Round of 32
Kristina Mladenovic
FRA
Kristina Mladenovic
#822WTA
1422ELO
1408Hard ELO
$865kYTD
$15MCAREER
33 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
Nao Hibino
JPNQ
Nao Hibino
#190WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWW
Mladenovic K.
5-7 6-3 4-6
Hibino N.
Mladenovic K.
5641
Hibino N.
7362

Nao Hibino defeated Kristina Mladenovic in the Round of 32 at the Singapore tournament, winning 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Both players hit one ace and two double faults. Hibino converted 67% of her break points, while Mladenovic converted 44%, and both players earned four service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • The 31-year-old qualifier notches her first main-draw win at WTA 500 level or above since Roland Garros 2025 with a comeback victory over Mladenovic.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Hibino N.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Momentum · Final
Mladenovic K.9/18
Hibino N.10/18

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Nao Hibino closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-21US OpenQ64hardNao Hibino6-4 3-6 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardKristina Mladenovic7-5 6-1
2016-10-10Hong KongR16hardKristina Mladenovic7-6 6-2
2016-08-29US OpenR128hardKristina Mladenovic6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
Mladenovic K.Hibino N.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mladenovic K.Hibino N.
Clutch Rating·Even
26
28
Break points saved·Slight edge
10
5
Break points won·Even
84
86
Deciding sets·Even
21
20
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Mladenovic K.26%
Hibino N.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hibino N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mladenovic K.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Hibino N.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1408
Surface ELO
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1422
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1560
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
1.92 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mladenovic K.Hibino N.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
52

Mladenovic K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Hibino N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw