Hugo Grenier vs Vadym Ursu — St. Tropez Qualifying Round of 16

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
Hugo Grenier
FRA
Hugo Grenier
#289ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
$143kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
UKR
Vadym Ursu
#403ATP
1223ELO
1196Hard ELO
$20kYTD
$160kCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWWL
Grenier H.
6-4 6-4
Ursu V.
Grenier H.
662
Ursu V.
440

Hugo Grenier defeated Vadym Ursu 6-4, 6-4 in the St. Tropez Q16. Grenier converted 67% of his break points and won two service breaks to Ursu's one. Grenier hit one ace and two double faults, while Ursu had two aces and one double fault.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Grenier H.8/10
Ursu V.6/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Grenier edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-08-14Belarus F2R32hardVadym Ursu6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
Grenier H.Ursu V.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Grenier H.Ursu V.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
25
0
Break points saved·Dominant
62
8
Break points won·Clear edge
1
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
27
Tiebreaks·
6
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Grenier H.64%
Ursu V.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Grenier H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Grenier H.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ursu V.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.1+328 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1196
9.1Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1223
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Grenier H.Ursu V.
Freshness·Clear edge
87
75

Grenier H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Ursu V.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw