Aidan Mayo vs Sebastian Gorzny β€” San Diego 2 Qualifying Round of 16

San Diego 2 Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#356ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
$48kYTD
$256kCAREER
23 yrs Β· 183 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 Β·
hard
#444ATP
$14kYTD
$33kCAREER
22 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Mayo A.
3-6 4-6
Gorzny S.
Mayo A.
340
Gorzny S.
662

Sebastian Gorzny defeated Aidan Mayo 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the San Diego 2 hard court tournament. Gorzny hit 4 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Mayo hit 2 aces and 2 double faults. Gorzny converted all his break points and won 2 service breaks to Mayo's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Mayo A.6/9
Gorzny S.9/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
57%
β€”
1st serve points wonΒ·
73%
β€”
2nd serve points wonΒ·
52%
β€”
Service points wonΒ·
64%
β€”
Return points wonΒ·
41%
β€”
Break points savedΒ·
60%
β€”
Aces / matchΒ·
4.2
β€”
Double faults / matchΒ·
4.2
β€”

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 17:50 UTC
Mayo A.70%
Gorzny S.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Mayo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.9Won 49% in USA (59)
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in USA (55)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
73
60

Mayo A.: 1 day rest Β· 3 matches, 62 games (7d) Β· Gorzny S.: 1 day rest Β· 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25Β°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw