Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero GormazTolentino Open - Tolentino Round of 32

Tolentino Open - Tolentino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#233WTA
1590ELO
1574Clay ELO
$48kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
35 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 4th on
#144WTA
1616ELO
1583Clay ELO
$179kYTD
$784kCAREER
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLWW
Hercog P.
7-6 1-6 6-7
Romero Gormaz L.
Hercog P.
771631
Romero Gormaz L.
646772

Leyre Romero Gormaz defeated Polona Hercog in the Round of 32 of the Tolentino Open in Tolentino, a clay court event. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 in favor of Romero Gormaz. Romero Gormaz hit one ace and six double faults, while converting 57 percent of her break points and winning four service breaks, compared to Hercog's three aces, four double faults, 33 percent break point conversion, and two service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Hercog P.10/16
Romero Gormaz L.14/17

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
10
19
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
46
Break points won·Clear edge
73
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
5
22
Tiebreaks·Even
6
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Hercog P.44%
Romero Gormaz L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1574
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
72
68

Hercog P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Romero Gormaz L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw