David Goffin vs Mark LajalSt. Tropez Round of 32

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#390ATP
1665ELO
1626Hard ELO
$106kYTD
$19MCAREER
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
#143ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$186kYTD
$744kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Goffin D.
3-6 4-6
Lajal M.
Goffin D.
340
Lajal M.
662

Mark Lajal defeated David Goffin 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the St. Tropez hard-court tournament. Lajal hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while Goffin had 2 aces and 0 double faults. Lajal converted 1 of 4 break points and won 1 service break to Goffin's 0.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Goffin D.2/10
Lajal M.5/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Mark Lajal closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
43
Break points saved·Even
89
89
Break points won·Dominant
70
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
42
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Goffin D.30%
Lajal M.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+70 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1556
6.0Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1588
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
2.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
75

Goffin D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Lajal M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw