Moez Echargui vs Karl Poling β€” St. Tropez Qualifying Round of 16

St. Tropez Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#378ATP
1416ELO
1408Hard ELO
$271kYTD
$570kCAREER
33 yrs Β· 178 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWLLLWWW
2 β€” 0
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 Β·
hard
#460ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
$27kYTD
$90kCAREER
27 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLLWWWWWL
Echargui M.
6-4 7-6
Poling K.
Echargui M.
67102
Poling K.
4680

Moez Echargui defeated Karl Poling in the St. Tropez qualifying round of 16. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-6 in Echargui's favor. Echargui won 2 service breaks to Poling's 1, and converted 22% of break points to Poling's 20%, with both players committing 1 double fault and Echargui serving 4 aces to Poling's 6.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Echargui M.2/11
Poling K.1/11

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
52%
52%
Service points wonΒ·Even
62%
61%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points savedΒ·Even
62%
59%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
4.3
1.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Echargui M.55%
Poling K.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+88 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1320
6.3Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1314
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
61
72

Echargui M.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 55 games (7d) Β· Poling K.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25Β°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw