M. Domenc vs Daniel JadeSt. Tropez Qualifying Round of 16

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#1346ATP
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
#643ATP
$53kYTD
$58kCAREER
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWW
Domenc M.
7-6 4-6 5-7
Jade D.
Domenc M.
714451
Jade D.
612672

Daniel Jade defeated M. Domenc 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 in the St. Tropez Q16. The match saw Daniel Jade record 0 aces and 5 double faults, while M. Domenc had 6 aces and 2 double faults. Daniel Jade converted 45% of break points and secured 5 service breaks, compared to M. Domenc's 50% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Domenc M.10/17
Jade D.12/17

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-29M15 MonastirSFhardDaniel Jade3-6 0-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Domenc M.56%
Jade D.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
59

Domenc M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Jade D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw