Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Lorenzo Carboni β€” M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1175ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 Β·
clay
#569ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
$24kYTD
$98kCAREER
20 yrs Β· 168 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWWLWW
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
6-7 4-6
Carboni L.
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
6140
Carboni L.
7762

Lorenzo Carboni defeated Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini in the Round of 32 of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-4 in favor of Carboni. Lorenzo Carboni converted 62% of break points and made 5 service breaks, while Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini made 4 service breaks and converted 36% of break points; additionally, Carboni had 0 aces and 0 double faults, and his opponent had 0 aces and 7 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.6/11
Carboni L.7/11

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
32%
47%
Service points wonΒ·Even
54%
57%
Return points wonΒ·Even
42%
39%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
47%
53%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
0.8
1.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
12.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.18%
Carboni L.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Carboni L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
100

Carboni L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw