Matteo Martineau vs Justin BoulaisSt. Tropez Qualifying Round of 16

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#276ATP
1417ELO
1398Hard ELO
$60kYTD
$556kCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
#418ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
$50kYTD
$165kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLLL
Martineau M.
6-3 6-1
Boulais J.
Martineau M.
662
Boulais J.
310

Matteo Martineau defeated Justin Boulais in the St. Tropez Q16 match on hard courts. Martineau won in straight sets 6-3, 6-1. Martineau hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and securing 1 service break to Boulais' 0.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Martineau M.8/8
Boulais J.4/8

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
9
5
Break points saved·Dominant
86
50
Break points won·Even
1
5
Deciding sets·Slight edge
3
13
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
13
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Martineau M.50%
Boulais J.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1326
5.8Overall Elo 1417
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1352
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.83 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
68

Martineau M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Boulais J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw