Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette | Darya Astakhova Wins 3-6 6-1 7-6

Korea Open - Seoul · WTA · Round of 32

RUSQ

Darya Astakhova

#203WTA

1511ELO

1446Hard ELO

$39kYTD

$315kCAREER

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWLWWWW

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 21 September 2026 · 17:10

hard

Center Court · 3rd on

POL7

Magda Linette

#74WTA

1831ELO

1780Hard ELO

$917kYTD

$9.0MCAREER

34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWLLLLWW

Astakhova D.

3-6 6-1 7-6

Linette M.

Astakhova D.

367⁷2

Linette M.

616²1

Darya Astakhova defeated Magda Linette in the Round of 32 at the Korea Open in Seoul. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 in favor of Astakhova. Key stats included Astakhova's 4 service breaks to Linette's 3, and Astakhova converting 57% of her break points to Linette's 33%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final

Astakhova D.8/14

Linette M.7/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Match story: Darya Astakhova dropped the opening set before beating Magda Linette 3–6 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Astakhova D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Linette M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Astakhova D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Astakhova D.Linette M.

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Serve

—

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Astakhova D.Linette M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

66%

59%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

59%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

48%

Service points won·Even

54%

58%

Return points won·Slight edge

50%

41%

Break points saved·Even

53%

52%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.0

3.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.9

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Astakhova D.Linette M.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·

—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Astakhova D.36%

Linette M.64%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Linette M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Astakhova D.

3.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Linette M.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

0.8Hard Elo 1446

Surface ELO

9.2+334 Hard Elo edge

1.0Overall Elo 1511

ELO gap

9.0Overall Elo 1831

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.87 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.63 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Astakhova D.Linette M.

Freshness·Clear edge

Astakhova D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Linette M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

28°CClear

Wind 0 km/hHumidity 38%

Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette — Korea Open - Seoul Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard