Yuki Naito vs Ayla Aksu β€” Ankara Open - Ankara Round of 32

Ankara Open - Ankara Β· CHALLENGER Β· Round of 32
#292WTA
1382ELO
1394Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$444kCAREER
25 yrs Β· 163 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 Β·
hard
Turk Telekom Center Court Β· 5th on
#216WTA
1521ELO
1513Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$264kCAREER
30 yrs Β· 170 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Naito Y.
1-6 6-7
Aksu A.
Naito Y.
1630
Aksu A.
6772

Ayla Aksu defeated Yuki Naito in the Round of 32 at the Ankara Open in Ankara. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 7-6 in favor of Aksu. Aksu converted her one break point opportunity and won three service breaks to Naito's one, also committing one double fault to Naito's three.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Naito Y.4/9
Aksu A.7/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Ayla Aksu came through a tight passage before pulling clear β€” 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
47%
46%
Service points wonΒ·Even
58%
56%
Return points wonΒ·Even
47%
46%
Break points savedΒ·Even
55%
53%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
3.5
1.4
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.7
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 16:50 UTC
Naito Y.53%
Aksu A.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1394
Surface ELO
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1521
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.34 of last 10 on hard
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
87
78

Naito Y.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 20 games (7d) Β· Aksu A.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22Β°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw