Vesa Ahti vs Felix Alopaeus — M25 Falun Qualifying Round of 16
M25 Falun · ITF · Qualifying Round of 16
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
Ahti V.3-6 4-6
Alopaeus F.
Ahti V.
340
Alopaeus F.
662
Felix Alopaeus defeated Vesa Ahti 6-3, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Falun tournament. Alopaeus and Ahti were even in aces (2) and double faults (3 for Alopaeus, 2 for Ahti). Alopaeus converted 50% of break points, while Ahti converted 33%, as Alopaeus won 2 service breaks to Ahti's 1.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Momentum · Final
Ahti V.2/10
Alopaeus F.5/10
hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken
Key context
- Match story: Felix Alopaeus closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCAhti V.36%
Alopaeus F.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Alopaeus F. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
15°CPartly cloudy
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 63%