Karue Sell vs Alex RybakovSan Diego 2 Qualifying Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#1286ATP
1446ELO
1414Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
hard
#511ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
$23kYTD
$255kCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Sell K.
3-6 4-6
Rybakov A.
Sell K.
340
Rybakov A.
662

Alex Rybakov defeated Karue Sell 6-3, 6-4 in the qualifying second round of the San Diego 2 hard court tournament. Rybakov hit 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Sell hit 1 ace and 1 double fault. Rybakov converted 1 of 4 break points and won 1 service break to advance.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Sell K.3/9
Rybakov A.6/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Rybakov closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-01-01USA F1QFhardKarue Sell6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
66%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
45%
Service points won·
60%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
55%
Aces / match·
3.3
Double faults / match·
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Sell K.55%
Rybakov A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1310
6.2Overall Elo 1446
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1352
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2Won 70% in USA (47)
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in USA (99)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
66

Sell K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw