Yana Morderger vs Katerina Tsygourova — Tolentino Open - Tolentino Qualifying Round of 16

Tolentino Open - Tolentino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
GER
Yana Morderger
#1172WTA
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
SUI
Katerina Tsygourova
#424WTA
1207ELO
1186Clay ELO
$20kYTD
$73kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLWW
Morderger Y.
3-6 3-6
Tsygourova K.
Morderger Y.
330
Tsygourova K.
662

Katerina Tsygourova defeated Yana Morderger 6-3, 6-3 in the Tolentino Open's round of 16. Tsygourova served three aces and converted 20 percent of her break points, while Morderger converted none. Tsygourova won one service break to Morderger's zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Morderger Y.4/9
Tsygourova K.7/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Morderger Y.Tsygourova K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
48%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
51%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
45%
56%
Return points won·Clear edge
37%
49%
Break points saved·Even
45%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Morderger Y.8%
Tsygourova K.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tsygourova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Morderger Y.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Tsygourova K.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.38 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Morderger Y.Tsygourova K.
Freshness·Even
88
86

Morderger Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Tsygourova K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw