Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard WayenburgRennes Final

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Final
#237ATP
1571ELO
1548Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
hard
LE LIBERTE · 1st on
#217ATP
1413ELO
1393Hard ELO
$103kYTD
$428kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWL
Mayot H.
6-4 3-6 5-7
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
Mayot H.
6351
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
4672

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg won the final of the Rennes tournament, defeating Harold Mayot 4-6, 6-3, 7-5. The match saw Gueymard Wayenburg hit 6 aces and 1 double fault, while Mayot had 5 aces and 0 double faults. Both players converted 20% of break points and secured 1 service break each.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Gueymard advances to final after spectacular comeback, saving three match points against seeded Droguet in the semifinal.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Gueymard Wayenburg S.Tennis Actu

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Momentum · Final
Mayot H.6/16
Gueymard Wayenburg S.7/15

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
10
Break points saved·Dominant
92
63
Break points won·Even
22
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
32
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
8
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Mayot H.67%
Gueymard Wayenburg S.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mayot H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+155 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1393
7.0Overall Elo 1571
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1412
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
50
46

Mayot H.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d) · Gueymard Wayenburg S.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 117 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw