Dominik Matic vs Lucas Renard β€” M25 Falun Qualifying Round of 32

M25 Falun Β· ITF Β· Qualifying Round of 32
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWLLLWLL
1 β€” 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 Β·
hard
#2011ATP
33 yrs Β· 183 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWWLWWLL
Matic D.
4-6 6-1 12-14
Renard L.
Matic D.
46121
Renard L.
61142

Lucas Renard advanced to the next round of the M25 Falun tournament with a win over Dominik Matic after Matic retired during their match. At the time of retirement, Renard led 6-4, 1-6, 1-0. The two players had converted 40% and 50% of their break points, respectively, with Renard securing two service breaks and Matic securing three.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Matic D.4/5
Renard L.5/5

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Lucas Renard closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 14–12.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 10:50 UTC
Matic D.58%
Renard L.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Matic D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17Β°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw