Daniel Jade vs Ryan Peniston β€” St. Tropez Qualifying Round of 32

St. Tropez Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 32
#643ATP
$53kYTD
$58kCAREER
17 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWWWLWWW
2 β€” 1
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 Β·
hard
#508ATP
1441ELO
1402Hard ELO
30 yrs Β· 180 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Jade D.
6-7 6-2 6-2
Peniston R.
Jade D.
65662
Peniston R.
77221

Daniel Jade defeated Ryan Peniston 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 in the qualifying second round of the St. Tropez hard-court tournament. Jade converted all of his break points, compared to Peniston's 75 percent, and held a 5-3 edge in service breaks. Both players hit two aces, but Jade committed three double faults to Peniston's six.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Jade D.11/14
Peniston R.7/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
54%
40%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
33%
38%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
1.9
1.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
1.4
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Jade D.18%
Peniston R.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Peniston R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.00 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 10
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Even
78
76

Jade D.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 29 games (7d) Β· Peniston R.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw