Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito β€” Korea Open - Seoul Qualifying Round of 8

Korea Open - Seoul Β· WTA Β· Qualifying Round of 8
#166WTA
1508ELO
1468Hard ELO
$35kYTD
$122kCAREER
21 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 Β·
hard
#254WTA
1393ELO
1395Hard ELO
$35kYTD
$314kCAREER
19 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLLWWWWWL
Ibragimova A.
7-5 6-2
Saito S.
Ibragimova A.
762
Saito S.
520

Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Sara Saito 7-5, 6-2 in the qualifying eighthfinals of the Korea Open in Seoul. Ibragimova and Saito were even in service breaks, with each player converting two. Ibragimova and Saito did not hit any aces, with Ibragimova committing three double faults and Saito making two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Ibragimova A.10/11
Saito S.6/11

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
70%
69%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
59%
57%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
44%
38%
Service points wonΒ·Even
54%
51%
Return points wonΒ·Even
48%
49%
Break points savedΒ·Even
57%
54%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
1.3
0.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.7
6.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 03:50 UTC
Ibragimova A.50%
Saito S.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model Β· 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1395
6.4Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1393
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
71
80

Ibragimova A.: 2 days rest Β· 2 matches, 37 games (7d) Β· Saito S.: 2 days rest Β· 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw