Bruno Fernandez vs Dante PaganiBuenos Aires Qualifying Round of 32

Buenos Aires · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#613ATP
1149ELO
1139Clay ELO
$14kYTD
$36kCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
clay
#1034ATP
$3kYTD
$9kCAREER
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWW
Fernandez B.
6-4 6-4
Pagani D.
Fernandez B.
662
Pagani D.
440

Bruno Fernandez defeated Dante Pagani 6-4, 6-4 in the Q32 of the Buenos Aires tournament, played on clay. Fernandez hit one ace and one double fault, while Pagani had none of either. Fernandez converted 67% of his break points and won two service breaks to Pagani's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Fernandez B.8/10
Pagani D.6/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Bruno Fernandez edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
45%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
0.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Fernandez B.70%
Pagani D.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fernandez B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.00 of last 5 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
87

Fernandez B.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Pagani D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw