Patrick Zahraj vs Mathys ErhardSt. Tropez Qualifying Round of 32

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#514ATP
1331ELO
1322Hard ELO
$28kYTD
$178kCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
hard
#360ATP
1382ELO
1348Hard ELO
$30kYTD
$255kCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
Zahraj P.
4-6 7-5 7-6
Erhard M.
Zahraj P.
477112
Erhard M.
65691

Patrick Zahraj defeated Mathys Erhard in the St. Tropez qualifying second round. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 in favor of Zahraj. He hit 7 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 0 of the break points he earned and not conceding a service break, compared to Erhard's 13 aces, 6 double faults, 20% break point conversion, and 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Zahraj P.10/18
Erhard M.10/18

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
20
23
Break points saved·Even
69
73
Break points won·Slight edge
10
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Zahraj P.36%
Erhard M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Erhard M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1322
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1331
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1382
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
71

Zahraj P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Erhard M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw