Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Karl Poling — St. Tropez Qualifying Round of 32

St. Tropez · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
FRA
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
#521ATP
$13kYTD
$51kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
hard
USA
Karl Poling
#460ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
$27kYTD
$90kCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWL
Ghazouani Durand Y.
2-6 1-6
Poling K.
Ghazouani Durand Y.
210
Poling K.
662

Karl Poling advanced to the next round of qualifying at the St. Tropez tournament after Yanis Ghazouani Durand retired during their match. At the time of retirement, Poling led 6-2, 5-1. Poling converted all three of his break points and secured one service break en route to the win.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Ghazouani Durand Y.2/7
Poling K.7/8

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ghazouani Durand Y.Poling K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ghazouani Durand Y.59%
Poling K.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ghazouani Durand Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ghazouani Durand Y.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Poling K.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ghazouani Durand Y.Poling K.
Freshness·Clear edge
58
81

Ghazouani Durand Y.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Poling K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw