Mickael Kaouk vs Justin Boulais β€” St. Tropez Qualifying Round of 32

St. Tropez Β· CHALLENGER Β· Qualifying Round of 32
#1008ATP
$9kYTD
$14kCAREER
18 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
1 β€” 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 Β·
hard
#418ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
$50kYTD
$165kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 183 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWLWLLLLL
Kaouk M.
7-5 3-6 2-6
Boulais J.
Kaouk M.
7321
Boulais J.
5662

Justin Boulais defeated Mickael Kaouk in the qualifying second round of the St. Tropez hard-court tournament, 5-7, 6-3, 6-2. Boulais and Kaouk were even in aces, 4-4, and nearly even in double faults, 6-7. Boulais converted 41% of break points and won 9 service breaks to Kaouk's 6.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Kaouk M.6/15
Boulais J.8/14

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
54%
52%
Service points wonΒ·Even
62%
62%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
52%
41%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
44%
65%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
0.5
4.1
Double faults / matchΒ·Slight edge
3.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Kaouk M.42%
Boulais J.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
74
68

Kaouk M.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 44 games (7d) Β· Boulais J.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw