Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Li TuSan Diego 2 Qualifying Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#453ATP
1324ELO
1310Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
hard
#533ATP
1488ELO
1471Hard ELO
$48kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.
6-3 7-6
Tu L.
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.
6792
Tu L.
3670

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni defeated Li Tu in the Q32 of the San Diego 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in Ayeni's favor. Ayeni hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, converted 33% of break points, and secured 1 service break to advance past Li Tu.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.8/11
Tu L.6/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
8.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
13
27
Break points saved·Dominant
57
82
Break points won·Slight edge
1
8
Deciding sets·Clear edge
38
20
Tiebreaks·Dominant
20
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.31%
Tu L.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tu L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1310
Surface ELO
7.0+161 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1324
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1488
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.0Won 50% in USA (34)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
82

Alafia Damina Ayeni O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Tu L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw