Alexandra Shubladze vs Darya AstakhovaKorea Open - Seoul Qualifying Round of 8

Korea Open - Seoul · WTA · Qualifying Round of 8
#158WTA
1515ELO
1497Hard ELO
$69kYTD
$131kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 20 September 2026 ·
hard
#203WTA
1511ELO
1446Hard ELO
$39kYTD
$315kCAREER
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
Shubladze A.
4-6 4-6
Astakhova D.
Shubladze A.
440
Astakhova D.
662

Darya Astakhova defeated Alexandra Shubladze 6-4, 6-4 in the Korea Open - Seoul qualifying eighth-final. Astakhova converted 75 percent of her break points, securing three service breaks to Shubladze's two. Astakhova and Shubladze were even in aces and double faults, with Astakhova recording one double fault and neither player hitting an ace.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Shubladze A.4/10
Astakhova D.6/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Darya Astakhova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-08W25 TbilisiR32hardDarya Astakhova6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
53%
50%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Shubladze A.74%
Astakhova D.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shubladze A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1446
5.0Overall Elo 1514
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1511
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
70

Shubladze A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Astakhova D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw