Carol Zhao vs Ye Xin MaKorea Open - Seoul Qualifying Round of 16

Korea Open - Seoul · WTA · Qualifying Round of 16
#767WTA
1390ELO
1400Hard ELO
$85kYTD
$924kCAREER
31 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 19 September 2026 ·
hard
SHOW COURT 1 · 2nd on
#175WTA
1450ELO
1441Hard ELO
$127kYTD
$473kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWLW
Zhao C.
3-6 0-6
Xin Ma Y.
Zhao C.
300
Xin Ma Y.
662

Ye Xin Ma defeated Carol Zhao 6-3, 6-0 in the Korea Open - Seoul Q16. Ye Xin Ma did not commit an ace but made 3 double faults, while Zhao had 1 ace and 4 double faults. Ye Xin Ma converted all her break points and did not lose a service game, while Zhao converted 50% of her break points and lost 2 service games.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Zhao C.1/8
Xin Ma Y.5/7

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-12W60 FukuokaQFcarpetCarol Zhao6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
37%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
10
57
Break points saved·Dominant
19
54
Break points won·Clear edge
63
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
76
Tiebreaks·
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Zhao C.26%
Xin Ma Y.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Xin Ma Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1400
Surface ELO
5.5+41 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1390
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1450
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Zhao C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Xin Ma Y.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw