Nikolai Barsukov vs Alibek Kachmazov β€” M25 Guiyang Semi-final

M25 Guiyang Β· ITF Β· Semi-final
#694ATP
$12kYTD
$18kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWLWWLL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Saturday, 19 September 2026 Β·
hard
#800ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
$9kYTD
$446kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWLWLLWL
Barsukov N.
4-6 5-7
Kachmazov A.
Barsukov N.
450
Kachmazov A.
672

Alibek Kachmazov defeated Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Guiyang semifinals, advancing with a 6-4, 7-5 victory. Kachmazov hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, converting 75% of his break points and securing 3 service breaks. Barsukov had 0 aces and 4 double faults, converting 67% of his break points with 2 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Barsukov N.2/11
Kachmazov A.4/11

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
74%
66%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
46%
45%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points wonΒ·Even
39%
38%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
59%
41%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
5.1
5.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
3.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 01:50 UTC
Barsukov N.28%
Kachmazov A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Kachmazov A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.44 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
2.02 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
100

Kachmazov A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24Β°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw