Sheng Tang vs Chase FergusonM25 Guiyang Quarter-final

M25 Guiyang · ITF · Quarter-final
#1920ATP
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 18 September 2026 ·
hard
#604ATP
$6kYTD
$35kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Tang S.
3-6 4-6
Ferguson C.
Tang S.
340
Ferguson C.
662

Chase Ferguson defeated Sheng Tang in the quarterfinals of the M25 Guiyang tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Ferguson served one ace and did not commit a double fault, while Tang had four aces and three double faults. Ferguson converted 40 percent of his break points and secured two service breaks, compared to Tang's one service break and 33 percent break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Tang S.5/9
Ferguson C.8/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-03M15 Maanshan 8R32hardChase Ferguson7-5 3-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
71%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
52%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
64%
Aces / match·
2.6
Double faults / match·
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Tang S.25%
Ferguson C.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ferguson C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
2.22 of last 9 on hard
Surface form
4.63 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw