Alibek Kachmazov vs Robin Catry β€” M25 Guiyang Quarter-final

M25 Guiyang Β· ITF Β· Quarter-final
#800ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
$9kYTD
$446kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWLWLLWL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Friday, 18 September 2026 Β·
hard
#597ATP
$15kYTD
$49kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 196 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLLWWWLL
Kachmazov A.
6-3 6-4
Catry R.
Kachmazov A.
662
Catry R.
340

Alibek Kachmazov defeated Robin Catry in the quarterfinals of the M25 Guiyang tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Kachmazov hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Catry had 0 aces and 3 double faults. Kachmazov converted all his break points and won 1 service break to secure the victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Kachmazov A.7/10
Catry R.4/10

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
66%
76%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
45%
46%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points wonΒ·Even
38%
38%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
41%
57%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
5.7
7.2
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.3
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 02:50 UTC
Kachmazov A.70%
Catry R.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Kachmazov A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
100
β€”

Kachmazov A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26Β°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw