Emily Appleton vs Katarina KuzmovaW35 Hurghada Quarter-final

W35 Hurghada · ITF · Quarter-final
#429WTA
1278ELO
1230Hard ELO
$35kYTD
$410kCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 18 September 2026 ·
hard
#291WTA
1349ELO
1347Hard ELO
$34kYTD
$161kCAREER
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Appleton E.
3-6 2-6
Kuzmova K.
Appleton E.
320
Kuzmova K.
662

Katarina Kuzmova defeated Emily Appleton 6-3, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the W35 Hurghada tournament. Kuzmova hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Appleton had 2 aces and 2 double faults. Kuzmova converted 50% of her break points and won 2 service breaks, compared to Appleton's 1 service break and 33% break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Appleton E.2/9
Kuzmova K.5/8

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-29W35 AldershotR32hardEmily Appleton6-4 7-6(5)
2025-01-22W35 Esch/Alzette 1R32hardEmily Appleton7-5 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Appleton E.33%
Kuzmova K.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kuzmova K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1230
Surface ELO
6.5+117 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1278
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1349
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw