Alibek Kachmazov vs Qian Sun β€” M25 Guiyang Round of 16

M25 Guiyang Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#800ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
$9kYTD
$446kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWLWLLWL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Thursday, 17 September 2026 Β·
hard
#942ATP
25 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWWWLWLL
Kachmazov A.
7-5 6-1
Sun Q.
Kachmazov A.
762
Sun Q.
510

Alibek Kachmazov defeated Qian Sun in the Round of 16 at the M25 Guiyang tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-1 in favor of Kachmazov. He hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, converting 60% of break points and securing 3 service breaks, while Sun had 3 aces, 5 double faults, 0% break point conversion, and 0 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Kachmazov A.10/10
Sun Q.6/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Alibek Kachmazov came through a tight passage before pulling clear β€” 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
45%
43%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
38%
31%
Break points savedΒ·Dominant
41%
72%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
5.7
6.3
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 02:50 UTC
Kachmazov A.85%
Sun Q.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Kachmazov A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.61 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 9
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
100
β€”

Kachmazov A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw