Zhenxiong Dong vs Chase Ferguson β€” M25 Guiyang Round of 16

M25 Guiyang Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#2263ATP
27 yrs Β· 193 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWLWLWWLW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Thursday, 17 September 2026 Β·
hard
#604ATP
$6kYTD
$35kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Dong Z.
6-4 4-6 4-6
Ferguson C.
Dong Z.
6441
Ferguson C.
4662

Chase Ferguson defeated Zhenxiong Dong 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Guiyang tournament. Ferguson converted 80 percent of his break points, while Dong converted 50 percent. Ferguson won four service breaks to Dong's three, and had 2 aces to Dong's 7, 3 double faults to Dong's 5.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Dong Z.7/16
Ferguson C.8/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
71%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
67%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
52%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
62%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
38%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
64%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
2.6
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 02:50 UTC
Dong Z.18%
Ferguson C.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Ferguson C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.11 of last 9 on hard
Surface form
4.63 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw