Nikolai Barsukov vs Y. Xia β€” M25 Guiyang Round of 16

M25 Guiyang Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#694ATP
$12kYTD
$18kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
2 β€” 1
Sets
Thursday, 17 September 2026 Β·
hard
CHNQ
#2297ATP
Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWLLWWLL
Barsukov N.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Xia Y.
Barsukov N.
37762
Xia Y.
66421

Nikolai Barsukov defeated Y. Xia in the Round of 16 at the M25 Guiyang tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Barsukov. Barsukov hit 8 aces and 8 double faults, while converting 29% of break points and securing 2 service breaks, compared to Xia's 2 aces, 3 double faults, 75% break point conversion, and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Barsukov N.9/14
Xia Y.10/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
58%
β€”
1st serve points wonΒ·
74%
β€”
2nd serve points wonΒ·
46%
β€”
Service points wonΒ·
62%
β€”
Return points wonΒ·
39%
β€”
Break points savedΒ·
59%
β€”
Aces / matchΒ·
5.1
β€”
Double faults / matchΒ·
3.8
β€”

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 02:50 UTC
Barsukov N.67%
Xia Y.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Barsukov N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.44 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw