Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs N. ToffaninM15 Melilla Round of 16

M15 Melilla · ITF · Round of 16
#766ATP
$6kYTD
$30kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 17 September 2026 ·
clay
#1201ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLLLL
Turriziani Alvarez A.
6-4 6-2
Toffanin N.
Turriziani Alvarez A.
662
Toffanin N.
420

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez defeated N. Toffanin in the Round of 16 at the M15 Melilla tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-2. Alvarez hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while Toffanin had 1 ace and 3 double faults. Alvarez converted all his break points and secured 2 service breaks, compared to Toffanin's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Turriziani Alvarez A.6/9
Toffanin N.3/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-25M15 Tanger 1Q16clayN. Toffanin7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
49%
50%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
45%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Turriziani Alvarez A.75%
Toffanin N.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Turriziani Alvarez A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Turriziani Alvarez A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw